章節 18 Eurozone Industrial Output Effect
EU: September's Eurozone Industrial Output (MoM) came unexpected at 0.9% from a 0.3% Forecast
Summary:
The EU economy showed some weakness versus the U.S Dollar after releasing the Eurozone Industrial Output data on 14-11-2022 at 2 PM (GMT +4) with an unexpected result of 0.9%. EURUSD dropped from 1.0325 to 1.0280.
1. Fundamentals
The EU released the Eurozone Industrial Output MoM report in September on November 14, 2022. The Eurozone Industrial Output is one of the major indicators that affect the market widely, it measures the change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers, mines, and utilities. A higher-than-expected data is bullish for the Euro, and lower-than-expected data is bearish for the Euro. The data came out to be 0.9%% rather than the forecasted result of 0.3% which is supposedly bullish for the Euro. However, EURUSD dropped widely after this indicator because of the drop from the previous level on MoM. Bears interfered, and the EU economy weakened where EURUSD decreased from 1.0325 to 1.0280.
Gold had nothing to do with this indicator as it stayed stable around $1755 an Ounce.
Major traders are holding their Gold positions for further price increases.
2. Technical Analysis
EURUSD Daily Chart
The daily EURUSD pattern shows a bullish engulfing with possible prices touching the 1.0370 level.
Support and resistance:
1.0282
1.0270
1.0252
Pivot: 1.0300
1.0342
1.0330
1.0312
3. Trading Recommendations
High Probability Scenario:
Long Above: 1.0342
Resistance TP1: 1.0376
Resistance TP2: 1.0420
Alternative Scenario:
Short Below: 1.0286
Support TP1: 1.0236
Support TP2: 1.0195
