Chapter 6  Is AUDUSA starting the downtrend?

05/02/2023


Summary
USA Unexpected data leads to the market.

Fundamental analysis
The fundamental view on this pair AUDUSA Shows that the most extraordinary unexpected data result in the USA ( the non-farm payroll unemployment rates and employment rates) all come with a very positive surprising impact, On the other hand, The Australian dollar data coming on Monday and Tuesday shows a negative expectation.  
 

U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls

Previous 260K
Actual 517K


Is AUDUSA starting the downtrend? -Pic no.1
U.S. Unemployment Rate

Previous 3.5%
Actual  3.4%

Is AUDUSA starting the downtrend? -Pic no.2
Australia Retail Sales QoQ

Previous 0.2%
Expected -0.5%


Is AUDUSA starting the downtrend? -Pic no.3
Australia RBA Interest Rate Decision
Previous 3.1%
Expected 3.35%



Is AUDUSA starting the downtrend? -Pic no.4



Technical analysis
In this 4-hour diagram chart, The Market price now is 0.69216 With a big push to the downside after the fundamental impact, We expect the price to pull back up to the previous supply zone at 0.70000 It's also a Fibonacci level of 61.8 and from their market will start to trend back down the oldest demand zone at 0.685000 With 20 moving average keep pointing down.
         
 
Trading Recommendation

Trading Direction: Short
Entry Price: 0.70092
Target Price: 0.68872
Stop Loss: 0.70656

Is AUDUSA starting the downtrend? -Pic no.5


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