Analyze the failure reasons of many trading strategies from the program logic (including artificial)

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Strategy is inseparable from the proposition of logic.

If you make money, is it because you beat the market, or just because the market satisfies you.

Some people will think that I beat the market.
Maybe more analysts think so.

From a materialist point of view, it can only be said that your behavior is just in line with the changes in the market during this period.

But in the many books and theories we have learned. After learning, they all make sense and can be said to be correct.

Why is this so? Many people even discover a problem in their continuous learning.

Even though many theories are contradictory to each other, he is also right at some moments, that is, contradictory and inconsistent.


In a word, the market embraces everything.

Even if you are just a novice, you can find the so-called true and false rules in the market.

Are there laws in the market?
have
Is the market irregular?
Right

Do you feel
conflicted ?

You can find the same story, but if you start with the same story, the result of judgment may be completely different.


This is also a new method, new theory, and new model that the market continues to produce.

This is because the market is constantly evolving

I have done a lot of strategy models, and I also found a problem in the process of continuously making strategy models.

A strategy model adapts to the market for two years, but cannot adapt to the third year.
Or get used to it for 8 months, and don't get used to it for two months.
Can you say he failed? Can you say he succeeded?

Some people will say that your strategy model is not good.

I do not deny this point, nor do

I agree with it. I can say that the simplest test is

————————————————————————————
Who can find the highest and lowest points of the rsi indicator
—————————————————

This question is very simple, find 10 times in a row. See how accurate you are.

The volatility of the market and the size of the k-line are changing all the time.

At this time, a line is 10 points, after a while it is 50, and after a while it is 80, or even 100
?
There are also 500 and 1000 for a line


The value of the market changes all the time.
The so-called big market uses big methods, and small markets use small methods.
Your methods are all correct, but the market is just not suitable, that is, when you lose money.


Friends who don’t believe in evil, you can try the currency of Euro Pound, he has everything you want.

When she is gentle, she is like the little girl next door, but when she is violent, she is also a professional killer.


Many people like to come to Huihu to find solutions and find solutions.

And I've been thinking about logic
Complete logic does not necessarily allow you to make a lot of money, but it can prevent you from losing a lot of money.
The longer you live in the market, the less courageous you are.


You can tell me any strategy, and I can analyze the logic problem for you.
How feasible is it and where is the risk control method.


In my opinion, there is no perfect strategy for the market.
The level of strategy does not start with making money, but with risk control rules.
The level of good or bad strategy should be judged from the logic of risk control.

The risk control logic is not just a simple stop loss problem, but a complete structure of the program's own risk control method and how humans judge and respond when risks come.


During this period, the US dollar has been falling all the way, and the market used to have many profitable strategies, but there are many casualties. Isn't it good to live well?
















































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Last updated: 09/14/2023 13:18

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