Fat Yao talks about exchange

Owner: 姚胖说. Created: 07/02/2023

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learn. ．．．

姚胖说.

Don't let yourself be idle, another layer of definition of idle To do something that seems meaningless in the short term and I don't want to do it But it is something that sharpens one's character and has positive significance for the long-term accumulation. Learn to be a friend of time. To a certain extent, wealth is just a number, and the relative practical significance of more and less is not great. Because their own quality of life is actually relatively fixed to a certain extent. What we ar

training. ...

姚胖说.

Training is a pattern, vision, vision. But looking at the problem is another perspective, and this perspective is very important for traders. This is the most nutritious part. Instead of simply mechanically repeating other people's technical indicators. Everything you see is enlightened. The overall economy is involuted, the big cake has become a divided cake, and the gap between the rich and the poor has further widened. Focus on your own points and improve your core competitiveness.

Foam.......

姚胖说.

Under the analysis of the hot new energy vehicle sector in the market, the most popular leading battery company, XXXX, has a current market value of 340 billion yuan; We assume that in ten years, the global penetration rate of electric vehicles will be 50% (currently less than 2%, which is a very optimistic assumption), the company's market share will reach 30%, the price of single-vehicle batteries will be 25,000 yuan, and the profit margin in the mature period will be 8. %. Based on our optimi

Dimensionality reduction strike....

姚胖说.

The technical aspect uses the inductive method, while the fundamental aspect uses the deductive method. But the essence of their decision-making is the same, they are all the fusion of winning rate and odds, There is no right or wrong, high or low, it is all from the dimension of "time", According to the rise and fall of history to review and deduce how the future trend will develop, According to the past K-line to summarize the probability of such a trend or pattern happening again, etc., It is

base point. ...

姚胖说.

Use the inductive method to find out the basic point that can be deduced, and on this basis, formulate a series of operating rules that suit your personality. In the early trading market, the moving average was a very effective indicator for trend trading. Basically, you can make money lying down by buying and selling, but it will become more and more difficult to make money later on. So some people count which moving average works best for a period of time. In fact, this is for the sake of gene

Analysis work. ．

姚胖说.

Do a good job of analysis before trading. Don't be arrogant. Whenever you are proud, you give up risk control, and the best traders are often the most humble. Know your weaknesses. Everyone has weaknesses – even the best traders. Adhere to independent thinking, don't follow the crowd. Avoiding trades before an opportunity presents itself, knowing when to stay away from a market is just as important as knowing when to enter it. The strategies developed should be flexible enough to adapt to change

Outside of transactions.

姚胖说.

outside of transactions. The merits of the transaction are all outside the transaction. Some people say that speculative trading can show the ugly side of human nature. Greed, fluke, and laziness will be fully displayed between profit and loss. Therefore, trading condenses life. Ten years in the speculative market is like a lifetime in other industries. The maturity of a trader does not mean how perfect the trading system he has mastered, but that he has a strong and stable trading belief, In de

Transaction experience.

姚胖说.

You can learn other people's methods, but you can't learn other people's realm, you can only experience it by yourself. If you want to form your own ability, you must learn to make a new interpretation on the basis of sufficient accumulation. Many traders recognize that trading is art, and the learning of art needs to go through the stage of learning routines. For example, an entry-level art student must start from a static ball. Similarly, a trader's learning also starts from static technical i

Words from investment gurus.

姚胖说.

We have seen that the words expressed by many masters often have a meaning in their core. If you don't lose money-certainty-margin of safety-anchor point. Only when the market is certain can there be a margin of safety. The core of the margin of safety is to find our value anchor point. That is the essence of our problem, and this is also the premise for us not to lose money. The term "not losing money" is actually a neutral term, or rather strategic in nature. Not at the tactical level, but as

trader. ．．．

姚胖说.

For the market as a whole, I only do what I can understand. The most important thing is not to predict the market, because the market is not what we can predict, but the market has come out, Tell us to go long, or go short, just make a profit and run away. Therefore, the question about the long and short market is more of a layer of psychological comfort. For a novice, no matter what kind of advice is given, basically the advice is wrong. If you cut right or wrong, you will regret it. This is th

Faith and focus.

姚胖说.

It must be admitted that great traders are born, not learned. No matter what industry, talent + hard work + opportunity is the only way to achieve greatness. It is true that you can win if you love to fight, but how much you win is another question. Just like in the classroom when you were young, it was not a big problem for you to be in the top ten every time you took the exam, but the first and second always seemed to be the same. Lie Lie, mischievous, child who doesn't like to learn. Some tra

expected. ．．．

姚胖说.

Each variety has its own unique capital curve, Trading is to achieve the balance of risk and return through the combination of different capital curves. The main points in this are based on the cooperation with the current market and sectors, Try to lose as much as possible in the retracement, and greatly exceed the gain in the gain. There must be a good midline expectation and find the internal relationship inside.

Yao Fat said 028-Thinking Power.

姚胖说.

Trading is a concentrated expression of thinking power, a game of choosing the overall pattern in the mid-line and short-term. Just like the masks in the A-share market recently, the recent risk-off market in the foreign exchange market. We know that popularity is also part of the value, is it true that all the most famous female stars are the most talented? The most beautiful? Best figure? Aren't some extras and even third- and fourth-tier stars more talented? more beautiful? In better shape? S

paradox...

姚胖说.

Statistically speaking, traders have a lower success rate in trading than traditional industries, Human nature and leverage are designed into this, and of course it is also related to the liquidity and stability of the market. directly or indirectly increase the elimination rate. We know that the best strategy in trading is to win by quantity, quantity refers to the amount of funds, Huge profits cannot last long, and long-term profits may not necessarily lead to huge profits. The balance point i

fantasy. ．．．

姚胖说.

It is not terrible to have problems sometimes, what is terrible is that there is no point to think about the problem. Weakness and ignorance are not obstacles to survival, arrogance is. Grasping the main and core contradictions of things is definitely getting twice the result with half the effort. In the case of bad environment, non-core varieties will basically be abandoned. There is often a difference between medium-term goals and short-term goals. The medium-term goal shows that it is now in

make money........

姚胖说.

In the past, it was based on poor information, poor time, poor resources, and poor connections to make money. Now: the information gap has been resolved; the time gap has been resolved; the resource gap is about to be resolved; the network gap is also being resolved; If you are not strong, you will be eliminated. With the rapid development of the Internet and the increasing transparency of information, many manufacturers have connected to consumers directly through the platform or their own deve

Trading principles. .

姚胖说.

The patterns and attributes in transactions are relatively fixed, while the perspectives of transaction patterns must constantly collide. Only by continuous collision can learning and thinking improve continuously, and this improvement must depend on oneself . Others sometimes have no way to offer help, which is also the most important quality in the middle and late stages of a transaction. Once a person is injected with one kind of thinking, in his eyes, other thinking is wrong, and he will not

Market force. ．．．．．．．．

姚胖说.

Market trends are the result of concerted efforts. Funds, policies, fundamentals, news, market sentiment, technical graphics. . . They are all components of a combined force. This is a way of thinking that allows us not to be attached to one thing or one thing.

pattern...

姚胖说.

The pattern determines the profit and loss, and the pattern determines the way out. In the process of our transaction, there are constant things, such as rules, patterns, There are things that change, such as holding positions and short positions. First grasp the things that do not change, and then grasp the things that change. Therefore, victory lies in oneself, but victory lies in the enemy. For foreign exchange trading, according to the historical fluctuations of the market, we can see a rela

Trading beliefs and trading systems.

姚胖说.

Trading beliefs are the condensation of trading ideas and practices in the process of trading operations. What is done in the operation process is the execution of the trading system, Adhering to the correct trading method does not mean that you will be successful, but if you insist on the wrong trading method, you will definitely not succeed. In the long run, we will strengthen our understanding of the trading system and form our own beliefs about trading. Therefore, trading itself is not pract

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