Chapter 3  看懂交易商的持仓(COT)报告

美国商品期货交易委员会(The Commodity Futures Trading Commission,简称CFTC)会在每周五公布一份交易商持仓报告,也就是COT报告,这个报告可以在其官网上找到。

COT报告度量了期货交易市场上持有的净多头头寸以及净空头头寸。同时也为度量市场交易者情绪提供了一个良好工具,因为这个报告记录了大部分交易者们对市场前景的看法,这些交易者被要求向美国政府定期报告持仓情况。我们可以从中了解国际大资金的动向,毕竟金融市场是个钱多声音大的地方。对于影响我们持仓的重要力量,不可小觑。

以下是瑞士法郎的交易商持仓报告截图:

看懂交易商的持仓(COT)报告-Pic no.1

欧元/美元COT报告(2014.1.28)

COT报告中,把一个产品的开仓分为非商业头寸(Non-Commercial),和商业头寸(Commercial)两类。

非商业头寸(Non-commercial):这里列出的头寸都是个人交易者、对冲基金、财务机构建立的头寸,他们绝大部分交易都是为了投机获利。

商业头寸(Commercial):这里列出的是大型商业机构为了对冲汇率风险而建立的非投机性头寸。

看懂交易商的持仓(COT)报告-Pic no.2

投机日元空头头寸的大幅减少以及汇价走势变化

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