Chapter 4  指数移动平均线(EMA)

虽然简单移动平均线能帮我们判断很多交易信息,但它非常容易受到价格突变的影响。比如要做一条5SMA,如果其第二天受事件的影响出现大跌,结果就会导致简单移动平均线的数值更低,这将使得你认为价格下降了。事实上,这一天只是因为一个暂时的事件而导致的价格突变。

为了减轻这个缺点带来的影响,就发展出来了指数移动平均线,简称EMA。EMA的概念是指把较重的加权比例放在最近的价格变动来算出平均值,换句话说,也就是比起较远时间的数值,更重视最近的价格波动,可以更敏感地反应出目前价格的趋向如何。比如在上述5SMA的例子中,EMA将给予第三天和第五天以更多的权重,这意味着第二天将获得一个较小的权重,并因此将减小对结果的影响(如图5.4.1)。

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