Chapter 4  指數移動平均線(EMA)

雖然簡單移動平均線能幫我們判斷很多交易資訊,但它非常容易受到價格突變的影響。比如要做一條5SMA,如果其第二天受事件的影響出現大跌,結果就會導致簡單移動平均線的數值更低,這將使得你認為價格下降了。事實上,這一天只是因為一個暫時的事件而導致的價格突變。

為了減輕這個缺點帶來的影響,就發展出來了指數移動平均線,簡稱EMA。EMA的概念是指把較重的加權比例放在最近的價格變動來算出平均值,換句話說,也就是比起較遠時間的數值,更重視最近的價格波動,可以更敏感地反應出目前價格的趨向如何。比如在上述5SMA的例子中,EMA將給予第三天和第五天以更多的權重,這意味著第二天將獲得一個較小的權重,並因此將減小對結果的影響(如圖5.4.1)。

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