Chapter 2  用移動平均線來判定趨勢和方向

無論何種技術分析都不可能100%準確。既然不存在完美,那麼外匯交易者能做的就只有不拘泥於一種指標,而是組合多種技術指標,尋找提升預測精準度的方法。

通過觀察移動平均線的斜率,可以更好地確定市場價格的潛在方向。但如果使用單一的均線會因為採樣數據單一,而發出較為頻繁的錯誤訊號。為了減少失誤,增強訊號的準確性,我們一般會把短、中、長期三根均線組合起來,再配合不同的k線形態,準確把握買賣的有利時機以及判斷趨勢走向。

多頭走勢

當K線圖在最上方,短期的移動平均線價格大於長期的移動平均線價格,若短期的移動平均線和長期的移動平均線由上而下排列,且移動平均線上揚,則屬於多頭排列,為上漲行情。

如圖5.2.1,K線圖基本都在三條均線的上方,且10、20、40日移動平均線由上而下排列,屬於多頭排列,為上漲行情。

用移動平均線來判定趨勢和方向-Pic no.1

圖5.2.1  多頭走勢

空頭走勢

當K線圖在最下方,長期的移動平均線

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