Chapter 36  06/29 CRUDE 关键支撑再挽狂澜,回升贴近70关口

上方阻力参考: 70.00、73.90、76.20

下方支持参考: 67.82、65.00、62.30

日线图看,美国EIA上周原油库存锐减近千万桶,力助油价挽回颓势,市场再次于67.82(2021年12月高位)下方一线止跌回升。但上行并未直接冲破70关口(接近去年低点)关口,美油仍呈宽幅横向区间内弱势震荡格局。阻力来看,突破70市场将进入箱体高段,并紧接着遭遇轮番强阻:4月低点、也是箱顶强阻73.90,4月OPEC+突袭减产造成的大型缺口一带预计均抛压沉重。指标方面,MACD快慢线继续于零轴下方横向纠缠;RSI小升不改弱势区震荡,提示油价趋势尚未真正转强。

06/29 CRUDE 关键支撑再挽狂澜,回升贴近70关口-Pic no.1

4小时图看,油价在翻越70关口之前无法颠覆弱势,下行则始终需紧盯上述67.82一带关键支撑,近期多方四次力保该位不破。但若最终失守,恐将迸发强劲下行动能,并将很快滑向65一带的年内低点,该位也是中期内多方最后防线。再破将重启始自去年8月的宽幅缓慢下行通道中跌势,更多支撑可看2021年12月低点62.30,以及60整数关。指标方面,MACD快慢线依然于零轴下方形成金叉;RSI直线拉升进入强势区,记录在消息刺激下大涨强势。

文章来源:FXTM富拓

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