Chapter 35  06/29 XAU/USD 下行通道中延续跌势,反弹关注双重阻力

上方阻力参考: 1928、1959、1985

下方支持参考: 1900、1877、1860

日线图看,金价在美元反弹打击下继续小幅走弱,隔夜继续收创3个月低点,并一度逼近1900整数关。走势来看,市场在下破1928一代的区间下轨后,延续冲击历史高位未果后的跌势。后续支撑来看,1900整数关,去年6月高点1877,以及2月3日低点/3月6日高点镜像点位1860料均有较强买盘承接力。指标方面,MACD在零轴下方形成死叉后继续温和走软;RSI在弱势区窄幅震荡,可见市场依然承受下行压力。

06/29 XAU/USD 下行通道中延续跌势,反弹关注双重阻力-Pic no.1

4小时图看,现货金持续营造更低的波段顶底,且尚未兑现技术指标的底背离信号。多方唯有先后冲破1928及短期下降通道上轨以令跌势松动。随后2月前高1959的箱体枢纽若破,则短期波段的下降常态有望被颠覆。再往上,箱体上限1985,以及2000关口预计将有轮番抛压涌现;后者也是价格重新冲击2070历史高位的关键门槛。指标方面,MACD在零轴下方即将金叉;RSI也在弱势区止跌回升,流露反弹萌芽迹象。

文章来源:FXTM富拓

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