Chapter 33  06/28 XAU/USD 回落逼近3个月低位,1928阻力强悍

上方阻力参考: 1928、1959、1985

下方支持参考: 1900、1877、1860

日线图看,受美国经济数据强势,以及欧债收益率攀高等利空因素压制,金价再次回到3个月低位附近。近日多方数次回攻1928(1月16日高点)的前期箱体下沿未果,验证该位阻力顽固。若始终无法收复,恐将继续构筑冲关纪录高位失利以来所形成的跌势通道。点位来看,1900整数关,去年6月高点1877,以及2月3日低点/3月6日高点镜像点位1860料均有较强买盘承接力。指标方面,MACD在零轴下方形成死叉后走平;RSI在弱势区窄幅整理,提示市场正承受明显下行压力。

06/28 XAU/USD 回落逼近3个月低位,1928阻力强悍-Pic no.1

4小时图看,现货金于1928再次遇阻后存在形成“更低高点”的趋向,但当前MACD和RSI指标在现价两次刺探1910一线时形成底部抬高的背离信号。而多方反攻的目标也十分明确:若冲破1928和短期下降通道上轨,将明显缓和市场下行压力。随后2月前高1959的箱体枢纽若破,则市场短期波段的下降常态有望被颠覆。再往上,箱体上限1985,以及2000关口预计将有轮番抛压涌现;后者也是价格重新冲击2070历史高位的关键门槛。

文章来源:FXTM富拓

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