Chapter 27  06/21 XAU/USD 跌近箱体下限,“铸顶”警报再度拉箱

上方阻力参考: 1959、1985、2000

下方支持参考: 1928、1900、1877

日线图看,美指强势及美国靓丽楼市数据令金价承压,同时市场也担心美联储主席鲍威尔今夜听证立场鹰派。金价隔夜跌超1%并再次逼近1928(1月16日高点)的近期重要箱体下沿,一旦该位失守,则市场中期顶部现形。后续支撑先看1900整数关;随后去年6月高点1877,及2月3日低点/3月6日高点镜像点位1860也将有较强买盘承接。指标方面,MACD形成死叉即将打破此前缓步上行的势头;RSI回落后不改在弱势区反复窄幅震荡的模式,提示金价转弱风险。

06/21 XAU/USD 跌近箱体下限,“铸顶”警报再度拉箱-Pic no.1

4小时图看,现货金在回落接近1928支撑时再次收获一定买盘承接力,K线留下较长下影线,然而多方也已再次来到背水一战的绝境。唯有反弹不断接近2月前高1959这一箱体运行中枢方可缓和中期铸顶风险。随后多方还将先后挑战1985区间上限,以及2000整数关口阻力;后者也是市场再度冲击高位的门槛。再往上,4月5日高点2030,以及历史高位2070等点位均有沉重抛压。指标方面,MACD死叉后潜入零轴下方;RSI跌近超卖线,记录金价重心下移的过程。

文章来源:FXTM富拓

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