Chapter 24  06/16 CRUDE 低位“多方炮”营造多方转机,反弹仍有持续鏖战

上方阻力参考: 73.90、76.20、77.70

下方支持参考: 70.00、67.82、65.00

日线图看,中国央行陆续下调多项利率助长市场风险偏好情绪,油价在低位形成了两阳夹一阴的向上攻击形态。在收复70关口(接近去年低点)后,将继续面对73(汇聚了1-2月多个重要低位)- 4月低点73.90一带抛压。随后中期平缓下行通道上轨,4月OPEC+突袭减产造成的大型缺口(包含3月1日低点76.20,以及2月14日低点77.70等阻力)同样有空方重兵布防。指标方面,MACD在零轴下方即将金叉,RSI回升逼近中性水平,提示市场人气略有改善。

06/16 CRUDE 低位“多方炮”营造多方转机,反弹仍有持续鏖战-Pic no.1

4小时图看,油价守住了2021年12月高位67.82支撑,将战火限制在最近一个半月所处的横向箱体内,同时也暂缓市场下试年内低位风险的压力。即期来看,70-67.82依然是多方必守的支撑区域。一旦悉数跌破,美油将再次下探65下方的年内低点,跌破则有重启中期通道跌势的可能。更多支撑指向2021年12月低点62.30,以及60整数关。指标方面,MACD规避了在零轴下方形成死叉的走势,快线反而接近收复零轴;RSI升入强势区,提示多方有望迎来转机。

文章来源:FXTM富拓

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