Chapter 22  06/15 CRUDE 冲关70再遇抛压,双底构筑充满险阻

上方阻力参考: 70.00、73.90、76.20

下方支持参考: 67.82、65.00、62.30

日线图看,IEA年中报告预测今年油市供需趋紧,但长期需求可能出现峰值。市场则更看重消息的利空部分,美油冲关70关口(接近去年低点)暂以失利告终。走势来看,本月价格两次下探2021年12月高位67.82,而多方尝试打造潜在双底恐难轻易成形。该位若失,价格将再次下探65下方的年内低点,再破则有重启中期通道跌势的可能。更多支撑指向2021年12月低点62.30,以及60整数关。指标方面,MACD快慢线在零轴下方横向走平,RSI保持弱势区震荡,呈现市场弱均衡格局。

06/15 CRUDE  冲关70再遇抛压,双底构筑充满险阻-Pic no.1

4小时图看,油价回升于70一线再度遇阻,有打造波段“更低高点”的风险,多方唯有重整旗鼓并收复该位方可缓和下行颓势。然而后续上行仍将险阻重重:73(汇聚了1-2月多个重要低位)- 4月低点73.90抛压沉重;中期平缓下行通道上轨,4月突袭减产造成的大型缺口(包含3月1日低点76.20,以及2月14日低点77.70等阻力)同样有空方重兵布防。指标来看,MACD快线在零轴下方再度拐头朝下;RSI跌回弱势区,提示反弹尚未扭转原有跌势。

文章来源:FXTM富拓

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