Chapter 17  06/13 XAU/USD 美联储会前不断“蓄力”,能否突破近期盘局?

上方阻力参考: 2000、2030、2070

下方支持参考: 1928、1900、1877

日线图看,美元及美债收益率走高压制金价,不过在本周关键的美联储例会结束前,空方未敢轻易发力。市场整体不改围绕1959关键位(2月前高)来回震荡的格局,但同时价格即将磨破高位下降三角形顶边延长线的阻力压制。上行风险来看,2000整数心理关口为市场再度冲击高位的关键门槛;随后4月5日高点2030,以及历史高位2070等点位也都有抛盘守候。指标方面,MACD在零轴下方金叉后缓慢回升;RSI在中性水平弱侧窄幅震荡,提示金价尚未打破盘局。

06/13 XAU/USD 美联储会前不断“蓄力”,能否突破近期盘局?-Pic no.1

4小时图看,金价过去四周来始终在1959水平上下来回震荡,回撤仍需紧盯横向区间下限(3月22日低点1935至1月16日高点1928的支撑区域)是否跌破。失守则市场中期头部将进一步浮出水面。后续下行目标首先指向1900整数关;随后去年6月高点1877,2月3日低点/3月6日高点镜像点位1860亦有较强买盘承接。指标方面,MACD在零轴附近上下往复;RSI亦于中性水平附近徘徊,重心略有下移,记录市场近一个月来的横盘格局。

文章来源:FXTM富拓

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