Chapter 15  06/12 XAU/USD 窄幅震荡更近“顶边”,能否摆脱1959牵引?

上方阻力参考: 2000、2030、2070

下方支持参考: 1928、1900、1877

日线图看,在美元自两周低位回升的背景下,面对前期下降三角形顶边延长线阻力和1959关键位(2月前高)时,金价并无太多上破的催化因素。不过随着三角形“顶边”逐渐下移,市场更加接近短期突破方向的抉择。上行风险来看,2000整数心理关口为市场再度冲击高位的关键门槛;随后4月5日高点2030,以及历史高位2070等点位也都有抛盘守候。指标来看,MACD在零轴下方温和走平;RSI在中性偏弱势区窄幅震荡,提示金价仍待打破盘局。

06/12 XAU/USD 窄幅震荡更近“顶边”,能否摆脱1959牵引?-Pic no.1

4小时图看,金价数周来始终围绕1959水平来回震荡,回撤仍需紧盯短期横向区间下限(3月22日低点1935至1月16日高点1928的支撑区域)是否跌破。失守则市场中期铸顶迹象进一步明确。后续下行目标首先参考1900整数关;随后去年6月高点1877,2月3日低点/3月6日高点镜像点位1860亦有较强买盘承接。指标方面,MACD在零轴附近上下往复;RSI在强势区略有回撤贴近中性水平,呈现金价即期整固态势。

文章来源:FXTM富拓

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