Chapter 13  06/09 XAU/USD 回升再看三角形顶边,唯破方可颠覆盘局

上方阻力参考: 2000、2030、2070

下方支持参考: 1959、1928、1900

日线图看,美就业形势降温的信号令美元及美债收率双双受制,金价乘势反弹。再次收复2月前高1959关键位后,价格已越发贴近前期下降三角新顶边延长线阻力。在后者未被有力打穿之前,市场仍将维持以1959为价格中枢的震荡市。突破则多方有望进一步冲关2000整数心理关口;随后4月5日高点2030,以及历史高位2070等点位预计也都有抛盘守候。指标来看,现价显著回升令MACD在零轴下方避免死叉;RSI小弹未入强势区,提示上行仍需更多攻城略地以打破盘局。

06/09 XAU/USD 回升再看三角形顶边,唯破方可颠覆盘局-Pic no.1

4小时图看,金价在本月低位附近再次受到买盘承接,而初请失业金数据降温加速了价格的反弹。回撤风险来看,一旦冲击三角形顶边未果,短期横向区间下限(3月22日低点1935至1月16日高点1928的支撑区域)能否阻跌将至关重要,跌破则市场中期铸顶迹象进一步明确。更多支撑指向1900整数关,以及去年6月高点1877。指标方面,MACD在紧贴零轴下方再次金叉,且快线回升收复零轴;RSI攀升进入强势区,两者也随现价呈现来回震荡但无明确方向的态势。

文章来源:FXTM富拓

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