Chapter 11  06/08 XAU/USD “顶边”顽阻被再度验证,下行逼近箱体下沿

上方阻力参考: 1959、2000、2030

下方支持参考: 1928、1900、1877

日线图看,加拿大央行加息后同步升温的美联储紧缩预期对金市不甚“友好”,现货金隔夜显著回落逼近近期低位。走势来看,由于上行未能打破高位下降三角新顶边延长线的压制,并再次落于2月前高1959关键位下方后,3月22日低点1935至1月16日高点1928的支撑区域是否得守将至关重要。跌破则市场中期铸顶迹象进一步明确。更多支撑指向1900整数关,以及去年6月高点1877。指标方面,MACD在零轴下方纠缠后即将再度死叉;RSI落于弱势区震荡,提示金价短线走势仍偏弱。

06/08 XAU/USD “顶边”顽阻被再度验证,下行逼近箱体下沿-Pic no.1

4小时图看,金价依然处于1959为价格中枢所形成的横向箱体内波动,隔夜显著滑落后更贴近区间下沿。上行风险来看,1959的箱体中枢与三角形顶边料将形成顽固阻力。唯有上破方有望进一步冲关2000整数心理关口。随后4月5日高点2030,以及历史高位2070等点位预计也都有空方力量重点布防。指标方面,MACD快线在零轴附近死叉后快线加速下行;RSI再次跌近超卖线后反弹,记录金价新一轮小幅沉底的过程。

文章来源:FXTM富拓

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