Chapter 10  06/07 CRUDE 回撤暂止70上方,震荡态势或将延续

上方阻力参考: 73.90、76.20、77.70

下方支持参考: 70.00、67.82、65.00

日线图看,经济担忧及减产影响缓释令隔夜油价一度深幅调整,不过下行在去年低点70附近收获有力的承接力量。日线收出锤头线后,多空力量暂处均衡状态。下行风险来看,70关口一旦失守,2021年12月高位67.82(接近上周低点),以及65下方的年内低点两大重要支撑将依次经受空方攻势的检验。跌破则开启中期下档空间,更多支撑可参考2021年7月低点62.30和60整数关。指标方面,MACD快慢线在零轴下方互相纠结;RSI回升至中性水平后走平,市场人气依然温和向淡。

06/07 CRUDE 回撤暂止70上方,震荡态势或将延续-Pic no.1

4小时图看,虽然美油回撤很快封闭周初向上的跳空缺口,但在70一线的止跌动作不排除形成波段更高低点的可能。只要该位不破,多方将继续手握有徐图73上方强阻的机会,该位汇聚了1-2月多个重要低位,同时也贴近4月低点73.90。不过收复后,上行还将面对4月突袭减产后留下的巨大缺口,其间3月1日低点76.20,以及2月14日低点77.70料均有抛压。指标来看,MACD在零轴上方形成死叉,快线在零轴上方回撤后走平;RSI回升重返强势区,呈现油价反弹后强势震荡的特征。

文章来源:FXTM富拓

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