Chapter 8  06/06 CRUDE 跳空首日即封闭缺口,难破5月来箱体

上方阻力参考: 73.90、76.20、77.70

下方支持参考: 70.00、67.82、65.00

日线图看,美油隔夜高开低走,恰好完全封闭沙特额外减产消息促成的跳空缺口。市场围绕73(1-2月低点)关键位的争夺依然胜负难分,而5月以来价格在65下方的年内低点至73的宽幅箱体内来回震荡的格局也暂未改变。下行风险来看,70附近的去年低点,以及2021年12月高位67.82均为65决战点位上方的潜在支撑。指标方面,MACD快慢线在零轴下方互相纠结;RSI回升至中性水平后走平,提示油价周初跳空高开的行情并未改变原先的温和弱势。

06/06 CRUDE 跳空首日即封闭缺口,难破5月来箱体-Pic no.1

4小时图看,即便有减产利好加持,美油依然难以摆脱73阻力压制。当前多方亟需在回撤过程中寻求波段更高低点,止跌过程也将为重新冲关阻力蓄势。不过在73-4月低点73.90之上,上行还将面对4月突袭减产后留下的缺口,其间3月1日低点76.20,以及2月14日低点77.70料均有抛压;过程中还将遭遇去年8月以来形成的宽幅平缓下降通道初始阻力线压制。指标方面,MACD快线在零轴上方折返向下;RSI一度逼近超买线后回落,提示油价冲高遇阻的风险。

文章来源:FXTM富拓

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