Chapter 4  06/02 CRUDE 跌势不断加剧,下看年内低点

上方阻力参考: 70.00、73.00、76.20

下方支持参考: 67.82、65.00、62.30

日线图看,原油市场依然笼罩在针对全球主要经济体增速放缓的忧虑情绪中。美油5月末连收两根中阴下看年内低点,行情可视为上升楔形走完后下跌动能的释放。一旦2021年12月高位67.82依然无法阻止价格下行,空方将在4周后再测65下方的年内低点。若依然不保,更多支撑可参考2021年11月低点62.30,以及60关口。指标来看,MACD在零轴下方死叉;RSI在超卖线上方走平,记录美油重返跌势的行情。

06/02 CRUDE 跌势不断加剧,下看年内低点-Pic no.1

4小时图看,由于彻底打破了短期波段底部上移的温和强势,美油在掼破70关口后跌势提速,该位也转为首个重要回升阻力。即便收复,若无供需层面趋紧的意外消息配合,多方亦恐难以攻克此前反复受制的73阻力(1-2月低点)。随后在4月大型缺口区间内,3月1日低点76.20,去年7月以来形成的平缓下降通道上轨,以及2月14日低点77.70等水平也将形成连续抛压。指标来看,MACD在零轴附近死叉后延续跌势;RSI于超卖线附近震荡,凸显即期弱势。

文章来源:FXTM富拓

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