Chapter 1  06/01 XAU/USD 反弹遇数据扰动,盯紧上方“顶边”压制

上方阻力参考: 2000、2030、2070

下方支持参考: 1959、1928、1900

日线图看,隔夜美国Jolts职位空缺数据意外强势,美元回升一度侵扰金价的反弹步伐。不过市场仍固守部分涨幅,多方不愿轻易放弃收复2月前高1959的战果。只是金价反弹强度尚不足以扭转在纪录高位下方见顶后的调整趋势,上行也将很快直面高位下降三角形顶边压制;后续阻力还包括2000整数关、4月5日高点2030,以及2070纪录高位。指标方面,MACD快线在零轴下方止跌回升,并有形成金叉的趋向;RSI在弱势区拐头向上,提示金价仍处在反弹初期。

06/01 XAU/USD 反弹遇数据扰动,盯紧上方“顶边”压制-Pic no.1

4小时图看,金价与隔夜反弹高位出现一根带有明显上影线的倒锤线,多方打破波段下降常态存在难度,面对后续连番强阻亦无法排除跌势重启风险。若下行击穿3月22日低点1935至1月16日高点1928的支撑区域(隔夜封闭了金价跌势空间),则市场恐将再现一轮跌势加速段。更多支撑可看1900整数关,以及去年6月高点1877。不过短期指标来看,MACD快慢线已双双收复零轴;RSI持续震荡攀升上看超买线,伴随现价收复1959,价格的短期趋势也在逐渐修复。

文章来源:FXTM富拓

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