Chapter 10  05/24 CRUDE 接近上破三角形顶边,站上将完成底部结构打造

上方阻力参考: 76.20、77.70、80.00

下方支持参考: 70.00、67.82、65.00

日线图看,沙特油长警告做空者小心,引发市场对OPEC进一步减产的猜测。油市备受提振,美油因此攀上1季度宽幅震荡区间箱底73.00至5月10日高点73.81的阻力区。如若突破,多方将继而上看大型缺口中3月1日低点76.20及2月14日低点77.70等后续阻力,过程中还将经受去年7月以来一根中期平缓下行通道压力线的考验。指标来看,MACD在零轴下方金叉后缓慢回升;RSI升至中性水平,提示市场正逐渐接近由弱转强的分水岭。

05/24 CRUDE 接近上破三角形顶边,站上将完成底部结构打造-Pic no.1

4小时图看,油价开始上攻短期上升三角形顶边,站上则底部结构成形;但若冲关未果,市场或仍将向70附近的去年低点寻求支撑。跌破则美油短期筑底尝试将暂告段落,并将继续下测年内低位区域硬度:2021年12月高位67.82,年内低点65均为关键支撑位。后者再失,市场将进一步开启中期下档空间。指标来看,MACD在紧贴零轴上方形成金叉,且延续温和升势;RSI在强势区继续攀高接近超买线,呈现市场震荡上行的强势节奏。

文章来源:FXTM富拓

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