Chapter 9  05/24 XAU/USD 下探1959再获支撑,小型双底能否成形?

上方阻力参考: 2000、2030、2070

下方支持参考: 1959、1928、1900

日线图看,债务上限谈判再陷僵局令避险情绪升温,金价隔夜挽回盘中跌幅后收出锤头线。4月19日低点1969至2月高点1959一带的支撑再次封闭市场下跌空间。走势来看,金价当前嵌于该位至2000关口的狭窄区间内,上下限均为多空双方不容有失的重要节点。下行风险来看,1959一破,市场短期头部成形;后续下行目标将指向3月22日低点1935至1月16日高点1928一线,以及1900整数关。指标方面,MACD快线率先跌破零轴后持续下行;RSI进入弱势区后走平,提示市场已暂时中断此前冲击高位的强势。

05/24 XAU/USD 下探1959再获支撑,小型双底能否成形?-Pic no.1

4小时图看,金价在1959上方形成了小型双底雏形,尚待站上1980一带颈线位。同时技术指标发出了一致的底背离信号:MACD和RSI都在弱势区域出现了波段底部上移的现象。不过1980之上,多方将很快遭遇2000整数关口及高位下降三角形顶边的双重压制。唯破方可重新上看4月5日高点2030,以及2070纪录高位。再往上,2100、2200等整数心理关口将为后续目标参考。

文章来源:FXTM富拓

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