Chapter 12  05/23 CRUDE 构筑短线上升三角,73一带争夺终定后市方向

上方阻力参考: 73.00、76.20、77.70

下方支持参考: 70.00、67.82、65.00

日线图看,债限谈判获得些许进展令油价暂止下行步伐,但经济前景阴霾下市场整体依然承压。而收出锤头线后,美油再度逼近1季度宽幅震荡区间箱底73.00,该位直至5月10日高点73.81料将有沉重抛压;但若突破,走势将形成短线波段上升常态,建立初步反弹基础。随后上看大型缺口中3月1日低点76.20及2月14日低点77.70等阻力;再往上,80一线的4月上旬关键低位区料有沉重抛压。指标来看,MACD在零轴下方金叉后无力上攻;RSI在中性水平下方走平,提示市场向上动力相对匮乏。

05/23 CRUDE 构筑短线上升三角,73一带争夺终定后市方向-Pic no.1

4小时图看,油价上攻73遇阻回撤后很快重整旗鼓,若再直上冲关该位,则将形成短期上升三角形。而顶边一带阻力(73-73.81)的争夺将决定油价短线运行方向,如依然遇阻,市场恐向已突破的短期跌势上轨和70附近的去年低点寻求支撑。再破将继续下测年内低位区域硬度:2021年12月高位67.82,年内低点65均为关键支撑位。指标来看,MACD在紧贴零轴上方持续横向纠缠;RSI在强势区小幅攀高,呈现市场近来震荡整固的特征。

文章来源:FXTM富拓

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