Chapter 14  05/22 CRUDE 反复受制73顽阻,筑底尝试经受考验

上方阻力参考: 73.00、76.20、77.70

下方支持参考: 70.00、67.82、65.00

日线图看,债限谈判陷入僵局加剧市场忧虑,油价连续3个交易日受制于1季度宽幅震荡区间箱底73.00,上周五(19日)收出十字星凸显上行压力沉重。若供需消息层面无法扭转利空影响,则美油恐将回测已突破的短期跌势上轨和70附近的去年低点;再破下行恐将测试年内低位区域硬度:2021年12月高位67.82,年内低点65均为关键支撑位。指标方面,MACD在零轴下方形成温和金叉,但快慢线无力上攻;RSI未改于弱势区震荡的态势,提示弱反弹再度受抑的风险。

05/22 CRUDE 反复受制73顽阻,筑底尝试经受考验-Pic no.1

4小时图看,油价上周两度上攻73顽阻未果,债务上限谈判的负面消息最终破坏了多方底部搭台的尝试。上行机会来看,市场仍将直面73.00-5月10日高点73.81重压,突破将形成短线波段上升常态,初步建立反弹基础;随后进而上看大型缺口中3月1日低点76.20及2月14日低点77.70等阻力。再往上,80一线的4月上旬关键低位区料有沉重抛压。指标方面,MACD在紧贴零轴上方持续横向纠缠;RSI在强势区来回拉锯,呈现市场反弹受制的行情。

文章来源:FXTM富拓

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