Chapter 20  05/17 CRUDE 反弹依然受制,70若失将难免重测低位

上方阻力参考: 73.00、76.20、77.70

下方支持参考: 70.00、67.82、65.00

日线图看,美债限谈判进展缓慢,同时经济前景阴霾也持续施压油价。美油未能摆脱4月中旬见顶以来所形成的跌势阻力线的牵引;中期来看,市场也在去年7月以来构筑的平缓震荡下行通道中持续走弱。一旦70附近的去年低点支撑再度失守,恐将继续下探年内低位区域:2021年12月高位67.82,本月创下的今年低点65均为重要支撑点位。指标方面,MACD快慢线在零轴下方走平;RSI在弱势区震荡,提示市场跌势略有放缓,但人气依旧疲软。

05/17 CRUDE 反弹依然受制,70若失将难免重测低位-Pic no.1

4小时图看,油价新一轮回撤于70一线暂时止跌,但很快再度承压。不过在15日低点69.37跌破前,美油打造波段更低高点的希望不灭。固守则有望向上挑战1季度宽幅震荡区间箱底73.00,突破将打破短期波段下降常态。不过上方紧接着将遭遇缺口阻力,其间3月1日低点76.20及2月14日低点77.70均有显著抛压;再往上,80附近的4月上旬关键低点阻力同样顽固。指标方面,MACD在零轴之下升势遇阻;RSI升至中性区域后回落,提示市场短线依旧承压。

文章来源:FXTM富拓

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