Chapter 19  05/17 XAU/USD 暂失两大关键支撑,加剧市场筑顶风险

上方阻力参考: 2000、2030、2070

下方支持参考: 1959、1928、1900

日线图看,美联储6月是否加息变数犹存,利率在高位维持更久的预期对金价形成打压。如前警示,2000关口及3月22日来形成的平缓上升通道下轨形成的关键支撑一旦确认跌破,则市场将形成头部迹象;若进一步下破2月高点1959将正式宣告调整启动。更多下行目标指向3月22日低点1935至1月16日高点1928一线,以及1900整数关。指标方面,MACD在零轴上方死叉,市场开始兑现顶背离的压力;RSI震荡回落至弱势区,提示金价面临全新的调整压力。

05/17 XAU/USD 暂失两大关键支撑,加剧市场筑顶风险-Pic no.1

4小时图看,金价跌破2000的同时也令短期下降三角形底边破位,当前市场唯有形成意外的避险情绪,抑或美元强势缓和,多方才有机会扭转败局。而重回2000上方也是重塑强势并挑战高位的必要条件;点位来看,市场并未远离4月5日高点2030,以及2070的纪录高位。突破后者,更多阻力可参考2100、2200等整数关口。指标来看,MACD快慢线在零轴下方再度死叉,且快线跌势加剧;RSI下行触及超卖线后止跌,彰显金价面临沉重的下行压力。

文章来源:FXTM富拓

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