Chapter 22  05/16 CRUDE 70关口承接踊跃,第二支牛角是否现身?

上方阻力参考: 73.00、76.20、77.70

下方支持参考: 70.00、67.82、65.00

日线图看,OPEC+减产造成供应端紧张,同时美国6月恢复补库预期均支撑油价,市场打破此前连续3日调整,形成上破短期跌势压力线的趋向。上行压力来看,若进而站上1季度宽幅震荡区间箱底73.00,则将打破短期波段下降常态;不过紧接着将遭遇到缺口中两大阻力:3月1日低点76.20及2月14日低点77.70;再往上,80附近的4月上旬关键低点同样料有重压。指标方面,MACD快慢线在零轴下方走平;RSI在弱势区震荡,提示单日反弹迹象尚不足以改变近来颓势。

05/16 CRUDE 70关口承接踊跃,第二支牛角是否现身?-Pic no.1

4小时图看,油价隔夜小幅攀升,制造了能否基于5月4日金针探底后形成“第二支牛角”的希冀,尤其是市场两次上穿短期跌势压力线,有望打破下行节奏的情况下。市场向好的前提是重上73.00一线,但若依然遇阻,回撤需守70一线的去年低点。失守则跌势重启,后市或将进一步下探年内低位区域:2021年12月高位区域67.82,年内低点65亦为重要支撑关口。指标方面,MACD在零轴之下形成金叉;RSI震荡回升来到中性区域,呈现市场反弹的初步信号。

文章来源:FXTM富拓

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