Chapter 21  05/16 XAU/USD 平缓通道依旧完好,关注下降三角形突破方向

上方阻力参考: 2030、2070、2100

下方支持参考: 2000、1959、1928

日线图看,美元走低、债务上限僵局带来的避险情绪助涨金价,即使隔夜升幅有限,但依然流露在3月22日以来所打造的平缓上升通道中延续升势的信号。特别是2000关口固守不破的情况下,对于多方心理和技术层面都是一种提振。后续阻力来看,现价距离4月5日高点2030,以及2070的纪录高位都不遥远,突破后目标将指向2100、2200等整数关口。指标方面,MACD快慢线在零轴上方死叉;RSI在强势区震荡回落,叠加前者的顶背离信号,提示金价尚未摆脱调整压力。

05/16 XAU/USD 平缓通道依旧完好,关注下降三角形突破方向-Pic no.1

4小时图看,金价5月4日一度逼近纪录高点,随后的震荡下行轨迹有构筑下降三角形的趋向。因此仍需紧盯2000关口(三角形底边)和通道下轨形成的重要支撑是否得守,跌破则头部结构初显;随后若2月高点1959一线关键支撑依然不保,将正式宣告启动调整。更多下行目标指向3月22日低点1935至1月16日高点1928一线,以及1900整数关。指标来看,MACD快慢线在零轴下方金叉后走平;RSI在中性水平弱侧震荡,提示金价仍面临一定下行压力。

文章来源:FXTM富拓

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