Chapter 25  05/12 XAU/USD 历史高位下方两番遇阻,警惕出现更低高点

上方阻力参考: 2030、2070、2100

下方支持参考: 2000、1959、1928

日线图看,虽然市场避险氛围浓重,但影响难敌美元强势。金价因此承压回落,重心下移后更为贴近平缓上升通道下轨,若连同2000关口一并跌破,恐将打破近期温和强势。后续下行风险来看,2月高点1959一线关键支撑若再失守,则短期头部即将成形。更多下行目标指向3月22日低点1935至1月16日高点1928一线,以及1900整数关。指标来看,MACD快慢线在零轴上方持续纠结后形成死叉;RSI在强势区震荡回落,提示近期升势面临调整压力。

05/12 XAU/USD 历史高位下方两番遇阻,警惕出现更低高点-Pic no.1

4小时图看,金价在启动新一轮升势时震荡加剧,在冲击2070历史高位之前,空方“事先”借4月5日高点2030开始发力。不过金价回撤尚未跌破2000关口形成波段下降常态;无论是心理层面还是技术水平,对于涨势延续前景而言,多方在该位将面临背水一战。中期阻力层面,2070上方,由于鲜有历史价位参考,料2100、2200等整数关口将有抛压存在。指标来看,MACD快线率先跌破零轴;RSI震荡跌入弱势区,提示短期趋势转弱风险。

文章来源:FXTM富拓

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