Chapter 32  05/09 CRUDE 测试双重技术阻力,突破有望颠覆弱势

上方阻力参考: 73.00、76.20、77.70

下方支持参考: 70.00、67.82、65.00

日线图看,美联储6月停止加息的预期定价居高不下,令油价所承受的压力得到舒缓。如前提示,美元反弹开始挑战4月中旬见顶以来所形成的短期跌势压力线。该位与1季度宽幅震荡区间箱底73.00交汇形成即时阻力,突破则近期弱势将明显松动。后续阻力可先后参考大型缺口内的3月1日低点76.20,以及2月14日低点77.70。指标方面,MACD快线在零轴下方止跌企稳;RSI触及超卖线后反弹,市场出现跌势缓和的信号。

05/09 CRUDE 测试双重技术阻力,突破有望颠覆弱势-Pic no.1

4小时图看,油价在长针探底刷新年内低位后显著反弹,并形成V形反转,当前多方对短期趋势阻力的攻势将决定后市方向。若上行遇阻,则油价恐将难以摆脱短线波段的下降常态。点位风险来看,下方70一线的去年低点料有一定买盘承接力,随后2021年12月高位区域67.82,年内低点65亦为重要支撑参考。后者再破,则打造中短期双底形态的尝试将宣告破产。指标方面,MACD快线持续回升后上穿零轴;RSI持续反弹逼近超买线,记录了市场逐渐扭转跌势的过程。

文章来源:FXTM富拓

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