Chapter 34  05/08 CRUDE 双针探底短线止跌,即将挑战跌势阻力线

上方阻力参考: 73.00、76.20、77.70

下方支持参考: 70.00、67.82、65.00

日线图看,就业韧性缓解了市场对于经济衰退的忧虑,油价延续着自年内低点止跌后的反弹势头。重回70关口一线的去年低点上方后,油价形成“双针探底”的双底雏形。反弹前景来看,1季度宽幅震荡区间箱底73.00与短期跌势压力线交汇形成强阻区域,突破则将令即期颓势松动。后续阻力可先后参考缺口内的3月1日低点76.20,以及2月14日低点77.70。指标方面,MACD快线在零轴下方跌势放缓;RSI触及超卖线后反弹,流露市场初步止跌信号。

05/08 CRUDE 双针探底短线止跌,即将挑战跌势阻力线-Pic no.1

4小时图看,油价在刷新65下方一线的年内低位后走出V形反转,但当前上看短期趋势阻力的潜在冲关过程为决定后市方向的关键。若无法攻破,则油价短线波段的下降常态或将重启。下行风险来看,70关口将有温和买盘承接力,随后2021年12月高位区域67.82,年内低点65亦为重要支撑参考。指标方面,MACD在零轴下方形成温和金叉后加速回升;RSI持续反弹进入强势区,可见多方即期反扑势头相对凌厉。

文章来源:FXTM富拓

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