Chapter 36  05/05 CRUDE 探针暂止下行颓势,构筑双底前路漫漫

上方阻力参考: 70.00、73.00、76.20

下方支持参考: 67.82、65.00、62.30

日线图看,虽然此前美油快速掼破年内点的跌势疑为“乌龙指”所为,但无疑市场处在空方的高压之下。只是隔夜形成金针探底的锤头线后,市场有望暂缓自由落体的快跌态势。点位来看,2021年12月高位区域67.82,65下方的年内低点区域仍有买盘承接力。后者也是短线多方的最后防线,跌破恐将继续朝2021年12月低点62.30,60整数关口,以及2021年3月低点57.29等中期点位寻求支撑。指标方面,MACD快慢线双双下穿零轴;RSI下行触及超卖线后走平,提示市场整体弱势。

05/05 CRUDE 探针暂止下行颓势,构筑双底前路漫漫-Pic no.1

4小时图看,油价暂时弹离年内低点区域,但阶段筑底仍前路漫漫。多方理想的方式是依托65一线支撑形成中期双底,而当务之急需打破波段下降常态。上方70关口一线的去年低点为反弹途中首个阻力,随后1季度宽幅震荡区间箱底73.00以及短期跌势压力线将形成关键压制,突破则将松动近期颓势。缺口内的3月1日低点76.20,以及2月14日低点77.70为后续阻力参考。指标方面,MACD在零轴下方形成温和金叉;RSI小幅反弹止于超卖线下方,依然呈现油价即期弱势。

文章来源:FXTM富拓

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