Chapter 40  05/03 CRUDE 双重忧虑持续施压,动摇中期筑底前景

上方阻力参考: 73.00、76.20、77.70

下方支持参考: 70.00、67.82、65.00

日线图看,央行持续紧缩和经济前景疑虑加重了油价的下行压力,美油在触碰最近两周多来形成的跌势上轨后加速跌落。在下穿1季度宽幅震荡区间箱底73.00关键支撑后,恐难免进一步下测70附近的去年低点。该位再失,则先前市场中期筑底的尝试恐难以为继。更多支撑可先后参考2021年12月高位区域67.82,以及65一带的年内低位。指标来看,MACD持续跌势,信号线亦即将下穿零轴;RSI逐渐跌近超卖线,记录市场趋势逐渐转空的过程。

05/03 CRUDE  双重忧虑持续施压,动摇中期筑底前景-Pic no.1

4小时图看,油价短期波段的下降常态略有提速之势,而在OPEC意外减产影响所留下的跳空缺口封闭后,下行动能丝毫没有枯竭的信号。潜在反弹机会来看,多方需迅速收复73.00以及近期跌势压力线以缓和跌势。随后上行将再次进入缺口区域,其间3月1日低点76.20,以及2月14日低点77.70料有明显抛压。再往上,多方还将遭遇80关口顽阻。指标方面,MACD在零轴下方再度死叉且跌势提速;RSI瞬间跌入超卖区,呈现市场即期弱势。

文章来源:FXTM富拓

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