Chapter 42  05/02 CRUDE 受困短期跌势压力,多方再做止跌尝试

上方阻力参考: 76.20、77.70、80.00

下方支持参考: 73.00、70.00、67.82

日线图看,OPEC实际减产自本月生效,相关影响制约了油价隔夜跌幅。走势来看,美油暂未上破最近两周多来形成的跌势上轨,而在3月1日低点76.20下方也印证空方些许占优。后续下行风险来看,1季度宽幅震荡区间箱底73.00至70附近的去年低点的关键支撑区域若再失守,则市场恐失去构筑中期复合头肩底的机会。再往下,2021年12月高位区域67.82,以及65一带的年内低位将继续接受空方考验。指标方面,MACD快线跌穿零轴;RSI处于中性水平弱侧,提示市场氛围暂偏弱。

05/02 CRUDE 受困短期跌势压力,多方再做止跌尝试-Pic no.1

4小时图看,油价此前触碰跌势通道上轨后回落,但多方抵抗动作有形成波段更高低点的倾向,若能同时站上76.20及跌势压力线,将有望颠覆即期颓势。后续上行风险来看,2月14日低点77.70上方,美油将重新挑战去年7月来跌势上轨至80关口形成的强阻区,捅破将有望重塑3月下旬起势的反弹势头。再往上,1月高点区域82.65至年内高点亦有沉重抛压。指标方面,MACD朝零轴缓慢回升;RSI反弹来到中性区域,提示市场依然承压,但多方已做出止跌尝试。

文章来源:FXTM富拓

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