Chapter 1  05/31 XAU/USD 反弹挑战1959关键位,尚未打破下降常态

上方阻力参考: 1959、2000、2030

下方支持参考: 1928、1900、1877

日线图看,美元转跌及美国债限协议投票变数引发的避险情绪限制了金价下行空间,而隔夜自两个多月低估明显反弹后,市场来到近来反复提及的2月高点1959关键位。作为中期行情重要前高水平,收复后将显著缓和金价的下行压力,不过站上后多方还将至直面近期高位见顶后形成的下降三角形顶边压制,后续阻力还包括2000整数关、4月5日高点2030,以及2070纪录高位。指标方面,MACD快线在零轴下方止跌回升;RSI在弱势区拐头向上,金价连跌后已有反弹初澜。

05/31 XAU/USD 反弹挑战1959关键位,尚未打破下降常态-Pic no.1

4小时图看,金价即期反弹强度尚不足以打破波段下降常态,面对上述连环强阻随时都有重启跌势的可能。若下行击穿3月22日低点1935至1月16日高点1928的支撑区域(隔夜封闭了金价跌势空间),则市场恐将再现一轮跌势的加速段。更多支撑可看1900整数关,以及去年6月高点1877。指标来看,现价已在兑现MACD和RSI先前持续底背离信号,其中前者快线接近收复零轴;后者升入强势区后走平,提示金价短线已至能否转势的关键节点。

文章来源:FXTM富拓

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