Chapter 21  04/25 XAU/USD 险守平缓升势下轨,重新上试2000关口

上方阻力参考: 2000、2030、2070

下方支持参考: 1959、1928、1900

日线图看,美元及美债收益率携手走低令赋予金价支撑,现货金在回测3月下旬以来形成的平缓上升通道下轨后收反弹,当前已经再次对2000关口发起冲击。如若站上,则市场阶段见顶的警报将暂时解除;并有望进一步挑战4月5日高点2030以及上方的纪录高位2070。随后价格将鲜有历史点位参考,预计2100、2200等心理整数关或有明显抛压。指标方面,MACD在零轴上方死叉后持续下行;RSI在强势区震荡回落,呈现近期涨势遭遇挑战的过程。

04/25 XAU/USD 险守平缓升势下轨,重新上试2000关口-Pic no.1

4小时图看,金价险守短期通道下轨,暂时规避了短线筑顶的风险。不过市场在站上2015的上周高点前仍有形成波段“更低高点”的可能。下行风险来看,能否固守通道下轨至2月高点1959至关重要,不保则跌势将进一步确立。后续支撑指向3月22日低点1935至1月16日高点1928一线,下方1900整数关料亦有买盘承接。指标来看,MACD在零轴下方反复形成金叉;RSI回升来到强势区,提示金价回落已现转机。

文章来源:FXTM富拓

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