Chapter 19  04/24 XAU/USD 周线收破2000关口,通道下轨面临背水一战

上方阻力参考: 2000、2030、2070

下方支持参考: 1959、1928、1900

日线图看,美国经济数据强势令美联储加息预期再度升温,现货金上周再度收破2000关口。走势来看,市场在回测3月下旬以来形成的平缓上升通道下轨后收获一定支撑。该位一旦失守,金价将释放下行压力;2月高点1959是否牢固也将至关重要,不保则跌势将进一步确立。后续支撑指向3月22日低点1935至1月16日高点1928一线,下方1900整数关料亦有买盘承接。指标来看,MACD在零轴上方死叉后加速下行;RSI震荡下行跌近中性区域,提示近期涨势已被明显削弱。

04/24 XAU/USD 周线收破2000关口,通道下轨面临背水一战-Pic no.1

4小时图看,金价在上周高位2015反复遇阻后疑似形成“更低高点”,若连破上升通道下轨及1959则将打造波段下降常态。多方因此在现价附近将面临背水一战,若能固守升势通道则将重新上看2000关口。随后多方依然有望沿通道挑战4月5日高点2030,及上方的纪录高位2070等阻力。价格再往上将鲜有历史点位参考,预计2100、2200等心理整数关或有明显抛压。指标来看,MACD在零轴下方再度死叉;RSI在超卖线上方止跌,提示眼下市况处于弱均衡态势。

文章来源:FXTM富拓

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