Chapter 25 Eurozone Retail Sales
EU – Eurozone Retail Sales MoM is Expected to Come Out at -1.7% Down from 0.4% Previously
Summary:
Eyes and Ears on today’s EU retail sales indicator decision. The retail sales MoM index was previously 0.4% and is expected to come at -1.7% and YoY was -0.6% and is expected to come at -2.6% on December 5th, 2022. A higher-than-expected reading is considered Bullish for the EUR, and a lower-than-expected reading is considered bearish for the EUR.
Recommended Entry Price:
EURUSD:
Entry Price: 1.05300
Target Price: 1.06500
SL Price: 1.04300
1. Fundamentals
In today’s article, we will discuss the retail sales effect on the market. To start with, retail sales measure the change in the total value of inflation-adjusted sales at the retail level. It is the foremost indicator of consumer spending that accounts for the majority of the overall economic activity. A lower-than-expected reading is considered bearish for the EUR, and a more-than-expected reading is considered bullish for the EUR. It is considered an important indicator as it indicates the major trend of the EU economy.
Eurozone Retail Sales will be announced on December 5thth, 2022. On November 8th, Eurozone Retail Sales MoM came out to be 0.4% up from 0% and a forecast of 0.4%. The result was bullish for the EUR, and a major increase in the EURUSD pair was monitored constituting of almost 100 PIPS.
In today’s result, if the Eurozone Retail Sales came higher than expected it will come bullish for the EUR, and Dollar Index will further decrease. If the results came lower than expected, it will go bearish for the EUR, and the dollar index will see an increase in prices.
Eurozone Retail Sales MoM
Technical Analysis
EURUSD Intraday:
The Intraday EURUSD pattern shows a bullish engulfing on M15 with possible prices touching the 1.06300 level later today.
Support and resistance:
1.0563
1.0558
1.0548
Pivot: 1.0573
1.0592
1.0588
1.0578
2. Trading Recommendations
High Probability Scenario:
Long Above: 1.05953
Target 1: 1.06190
Target 2: 1.06435
Alternative Scenario:
Short Below: 1.05644
Target 1: 1.05352
Target 2: 1.05059