How do you deal with those spikes in the trade?

old troublemaker in mountain city
山城老刁民

Short-term and ultra-short-term often face the trouble of stabbing. No system of rules is perfect enough to accommodate spurs in the market. Fraud and anti-fraud are often staged in K-line market.

Let me talk about the reasons for the formation of spurs first.

Large currency fluctuations mostly occur in the time period when the US market and the European market are superimposed, and it is also a time period when important data news is released intensively. Once the data comes out, big funds have different interpretations of the data, which can easily cause a spike, just like sometimes non-Agricultural Bank of China data As soon as it comes out, the market will sweep up and down, and the funds cannot reach an agreement. Even if the funds are bearish/long consistent, and the one-sided rise, there will be spikes, all are long, no one is short, short-term profit orders with a certain profit are prone to stampede when closing positions, and large orders are closed. If you need to sell short, hurry up to close the market. If the profit is gone, the market may turn back. There are also big stabs made by traders from major international investment banks, Goldman Sachs, Citigroup, Morgan Stanley, Deutsche Bank, Credit Suisse, Paris National, etc. He couldn't escape the surprise attack of the oligarchs at that moment.

There are also some technical spurs, many of which are deliberately eating stop loss orders, or deliberately eating stop loss orders from retail investors. The high and low points of the K line, trend lines, moving averages, and integer points will all be used. Retail investors sometimes like to set the stop loss at K Near the high and low points of the line or an integer.

It should be that in the past few years, gold has been suppressed under the 1300 integer for a long time. One day, the bulls slowly squeezed towards 1300. At the moment when it broke through 1300, all the technical pending orders pushed gold up sharply, and the off-market funds broke through the important integer mark , Flocked into the market... Half an hour later, gold fell back to within 1300, falling sharply all the way, fraud! More solid offer experience will increase the experience of dealing with stabs. Some spikes will give you a clear long or short signal, isn't the pinbar such a logic?

After some thrusts are damaged, if you can recognize that there is a high probability that it is a feint, you can re-enter the field. You have to use anti-human thinking to take advantage of some spikes. If the K-line breaks at a low point, if it breaks through and the short position does not continue, it will in turn be an opportunity for bulls to take advantage of. The larger the cycle, the more accurate the W bottom, and the greater the chance for the medium and long-term. The stop loss space is clear and definite.

In intraday short-term trading, stick to your own rules. The size of the stop loss determines the size of the position. When the entry signal appears, the stop loss space is small and clear, and the profit margin is likely to be expected. Exaggerated profit-loss ratio), combined with fund management and warehouse distribution strategies, and firm execution will do. Even if you are "deceived" by the stabbing, it will not cause fatal damage.

In many cases, the thrust/V counter represents the accumulation of power in the east and west, and the false breakthrough at a key position is a potential opportunity to build a position in the anti-quilt strategy.


dachshund



dachshund


The key position is negative, is it long or empty?


dachshund

After the line is closed, is it bullish or empty?


dachshund

take advantage of the trend

dachshund
This time.


dachshund

Follow-up can be like this. The anti-quilt cover is directly reversed.

dachshund


There's nothing wrong with that. Not being partial to one side.

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Last updated: 09/06/2023 10:01

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