During this period of time, I reflected on my own investment problems, and learned about 10,000 investment research projects, but no one learned how to buy and sell. The big guys from all walks of life analyzed well, but they would not tell you when to buy and when to sell.
The problem is always exposed in difficult times. The so-called "house leaks happen to rain all night", the disadvantage is that you can't sleep well all night, and the advantage is that even the rain will accurately expose your own problems. Can be targeted to repair.
Whether this wave is called Mavericks or Rebound, the overall operation is relatively difficult, because there is no continuity, the main line is not very clear, and there are multiple tracks and branch lines running alternately.
During the period, I also experienced the thunderstorm of the Bank of America, the Federal Reserve’s rescue of the market, the thunderstorm again, and several reversals of water... Frankly speaking, I believe that many people have bought early chips, but it is estimated that few people can hold them for a long time. After all, it is the big bear market that came here, and if there is a slight disturbance, it will slip away. This is the means of self-protection we learned last year.
The most common situation is still chasing ups and downs - when it rises, I feel that this one is going to fly, and when it falls, I feel that this one is really useless, and then I frequently change positions. Today I will buy Hong Kong dollars, and tomorrow I will buy the second floor. Set, change and fly, mentality and wallet double torture...
I don't know how much money you make by doing this, but I guess you must be unhappy, so this goes back to our topic: After the research, can you shuttle? Then what? How to do?
Go in with a stud, what if the price plummets that night? In case it skyrocketed by 30%, would you continue to take it? In case the negative decline continues and the retracement exceeds 40%, can you still hold it? If you buy it, it goes up, and you lose 30% of the profit, and then you start to withdraw, and you even lose 15% of your principal. Can you run away? If you are lucky, it has risen by 50%➕, and it is naturally cool to be full, but it feels hotter than 41 degrees 🧱 when you hold it in your hand... What should I do, what should I do, does the teacher give me an answer?
I’m really sorry, but there are not many teachers who can solve your problem. The above problems can be summed up in one sentence: When making a buying decision, you didn’t think clearly, but accidents always come faster than expected , the blockchain is 7*24 hours, with drastic changes, long duration, and news-driven. In this case, it is really difficult to make rational operations....
There is a very classic saying, called plan your transaction, trade your plan. During this period of time, I felt very deeply. This sentence is very simple, but it expresses the essence of trading. The transaction itself is against human nature, and the plan itself is a kind of program, which resists human nature with a preset, ideally set program.
Let’s take $ARB directly as an example, let’s experience it——
1. Target selection: arb will be launched and traded on Thursday
2. Prerequisite investment research: arb is the king of the second floor, with a far-leading business volume, a prosperous ecology, and a good user experience. Compared with OP, the market value should have a higher performance.
3. Purpose of transaction:
The essence of the purpose of trading is to answer a question, which money do you want to make? Generally there are several options:
- Valuation repair: The market valuation is wrong, the price is too low, buy and wait for the market to repair.
- Long-term holding: continue to be optimistic about the ecological development of arb, and can continue to stimulate the ecology after the currency is issued. At the same time, nove is also working hard to further realize the ecological position of the king of the second layer
- Emotional hype: wait for the airdrop selling pressure to end and the market to cool down, find a relatively low position on the K-line to buy, and wait for subsequent emotional fermentation to push up the price
This question is actually a question that you have to think clearly at the very beginning, otherwise it is very likely to become a lock-in and automatically transform into a long-term investment. When the price rises, you will start to lose yourself. Whichever path you choose, you will do the investment method related to that path, and set a buy Timing and Selling Timing.
4. Trading plan:
Here is the serious trading plan, we assume that the emotional hype genre is used to formulate the trading plan. Assuming that the reasonable price is 1 yuan, the market has reached 1.5, do you want to rush? My opinion is that it can be charged, but it depends on the line. After a wave of smashing, it hovers at a relatively low level for a period of time, and there is a feeling of a short-term bottom. Then I assume this is the bottom, buy a little bit, and remember to bring a stop loss. The setting should be small, within 10%, near the previous low. Because in this way, the odds of 5 times can be achieved, that is, the profit may be 50%, and the loss may be 10%. Don't think that 10% is not much, you may be wrong many times in such emotional short-term transactions, in fact, there are no fundamentals to analyze, everything is right, everything can be, in fact, it is the market testing price, the process of market pricing, then assuming the first Once the assumption was successful, the price rose from 1.5 to 1.8, do you want to withdraw? In fact, this is how many people chase the rise and kill the fall. They dare not buy when they see 1.5, but feel that it is okay when they rush to 1.8. Often, buying is just getting caught. Then we are speculators, can we rush?
The main indicator is still the "noise indicator". If everyone is talking about these things, and there are some related valuations at the media level, and promising material appears, then even if it is 1.8, you can buy a little bit, but you still need to set a stop loss because this time you buy Income, in fact, you assume that arb will be fomo by the market, and 1.8 is just the beginning of a big rise. Then if the assumption is wrong, such as falling back to 1.7, it proves that your assumption is wrong and you can slip away.
The existence of a trading plan does not include making money. What I want to emphasize is that when making an investment decision, you must not stud your brain at once. Winning is luck, losing is skill.
Investing is as important as war, which is to arrange troops and advance and retreat in a certain way.
Above all, I wish you all become your own God of War~
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